Nebraska Democrats insist United States Sen. Ben Nelson is in a strong position to win re-election next year, if the senator makes it official he will run for a new term in 2012.
A recently released public opinion poll by Magellan Strategies indicates the race would be tight between Nelson and Republican Jon Bruning, the state Attorney General, but that Bruning would win. That poll had Republican Don Stenberg, the state Treasurer, and Nelson in a statistical tie. It projected that Nelson would defeat Republican Deb Fischer, a state senator.
Democrats have countered with the findings of a poll taken by Hickman Analytics [Nelson11 28 2011]. Hickman says its recent survey of 1,300 likely Nebraska voters indicates Nelson has significantly improved his political standing. It projects Nelson is positioned to win re-election.
Nelson now leads each of his three announced opponents, and his standing improves even more after voters hear arguments in support of and in opposition to Nelson and his opponents. While this continues to be a highly competitive race, Nelson is positioned to win re-election if he decides to run for another term.
According to the Hickman poll, Nelson leads Bruning 47% to 45%, leads Stenberg 49% to 43% and leads Fischer 50% to 37%, all numbers much stronger than in previous polls. Hickman notes that those numbers have vastly improved since a survey conducted in June.
Pollsters for Hickman made arguments for and against the candidates when asking their questions. Hickman says Nelson’s position improved after respondents heard the arguments.
Nelson has said he will make an official decision on his re-election plans by the end of the year.