The way the weather is behaving makes it hard to predict what our winter might be like.
A peak at fall might disclose a bit more about what fall will be like.
State Climatologist Ken Dewey with the University of Nebraska-Lincoln says we’re running behind with the trees just now turning.
“We are at least two to three weeks behind schedule,” Dewey tells Jack and Dave in the Morning on Nebraska Radio Network affiliate KLIN. “It all goes back to the weird and whacky spring where it seemed like we were well into spring, things were OK and then it was May, we had to cancel graduation (at UNL) and it was snowing and we went below freezing.”
Dewey relates that he was at a conference recently in which his colleagues talked informally and concluded that weather has become more extreme. In the long-run, all things might even out and the statistics reflect little out of the ordinary, but the deep snows in the high plains combined with tornadoes in northeast Nebraska tell a different tale.
Computers models run by the university indicate that the dry pattern which has dominated Nebraska weather the past two years will hold and that it will be warmer than normal.
That pattern of extremes interferes with the computer models, according to Dewey.
“We’re concerned that the statistics say warm and dry, don’t worry, nice prolonged fall, but then the atmosphere is beginning to rear its ugly head right now and is sending us the message, ‘I’m interested in cold and wet,’” says Dewey.
We’ll have to wait and see.
AUDIO: Brent Martin reports [:45]